Second Korean War Intervention
MetaculusFEB 2024
Ex-South Korean President Moon Indicted for Bribery
Above: Moon Jae-in at Parliament House on Dec. 13, 2021, in Canberra, Australia. Image copyright: Lukas Coch/Pool/Getty Images News via Getty Images
The Spin
Pro-government narrative
Moon's prosecution is an abuse of unchecked prosecutorial power. It is nothing more than a politically motivated move to humiliate a former president, following a pattern of targeting political opponents when governments change hands.
Opposition narrative
The case demonstrates clear corruption where Moon exercised comprehensive presidential authority to receive special benefits through an airline controlled by Lee, a politician and businessman, while failing to maintain proper boundaries between personal interests and public office.