France-Algeria Diplomatic Crisis Deepens With New Expulsions

France-Algeria Diplomatic Crisis Deepens With New Expulsions
Above: French and Algerian flags displayed in Algiers ahead of President Emmanuel Macron's official visit on Aug. 25, 2022. Image copyright: LUDOVIC MARIN/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

Algeria's expulsion of French diplomatic staff was in response to France's repeated breaches of diplomatic protocol and bilateral agreements, including recent irregularities in consular appointments. France's disregard for established procedures and its continued interference in regional affairs reflect a lingering colonial attitude that continues to strain bilateral relations.

Narrative B

Algeria's actions represent a clear violation of international norms. Ultimately, this decision serves neither country's national interests. It lacks any legitimate justification and only worsens the strain on Franco-Algerian relations. As always, France will respond in a calm, proportionate, and measured way, guided by the need to protect its national interests.

Metaculus Prediction


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