How many countries will, at least in some form, decriminalize possession of all Schedule I drugs for personal use by 2070?
MetaculusNOV 2024
BBC: Indian Pharma Giant Fueling West African Opioid Crisis
Above: The facade entrance of the Phebe Hospital, Bong Town, central Liberia, is pictured on May 27, 2019. Image copyright: ZOOM DOSSO/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images
The Spin
Narrative A
India has a strong pharmaceutical regulatory system, and exports to other countries are closely monitored. The importing countries should also ensure they have similarly responsible regulatory systems rather than doubt India's manufacturers providing essential medications to millions worldwide through legitimate channels.
Narrative B
By exploiting regulatory weaknesses in vulnerable nations, Aveo's illegal opioid trade is devastating communities across West Africa and destroying young lives, while knowingly profiting from human suffering. The world, especially the West, must exert stronger diplomatic pressure on India to hold Aveo accountable.