Pakistan Launches Military Operation Against India

Pakistan Launches Military Operation Against India
Above: People inspect a residential house that is damaged due to cross-border shelling between India and Pakistan on the Line of Control in Uri, Jammu and Kashmir, India, on May 9, 2025. Image copyright: Nasir Kachroo/Contributor/NurPhoto via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-Pakistan narrative

Pakistan showed remarkable restraint for three days while India continued its military attacks, including targeting civilian areas and religious sites. Only after India crossed a clear red line did Pakistan launch its defensive operation. India's actions are another act of aggression; the strikes against the country are necessary to protect Pakistan's sovereignty and territorial integrity.

Pro-India narrative

India's actions were justified responses to Pakistan's support of terrorism and cross-border attacks, including the April 22 Pahalgam terror attack that killed innocent civilians. The military operation targeted terrorist infrastructure and launch pads being used to attack Indian territory, while carefully avoiding civilian casualties. The nuclear threat is exaggerated, intended to ward off any further Indian conventional escalation.

Metaculus Prediction


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