Japan's Ruling Coalition Splits After 26 Years

Japan's Ruling Coalition Splits After 26 Years
Above: Tetsuo Saito during the LDP annual convention in Tokyo on March 9, 2025. Image copyright: Kiyoshi Ota/Bloomberg/Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

Japan's political system faces unprecedented chaos as Komeito's sudden withdrawal from the coalition blindsides Takaichi and threatens democratic stability. The unilateral decision plunges the nation into crisis just as critical diplomatic summits loom and Trump's visit approaches. Markets are already reacting negatively to this destabilizing power grab that undermines Japan's quarter-century foundation of governance.

Narrative B

Komeito courageously left the coalition with the LDP because restoring public trust in politics requires real action, not empty promises about funding reform. The LDP's continued resistance to meaningful restrictions on corporate donations shows that it prioritizes special interests over transparency. Without genuine political reform, Japan cannot move forward or solve the pressing issues facing ordinary citizens.

Metaculus Prediction


The Controversies



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© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.16.0

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.16.0