Civil Wars End in These Countries
MetaculusMAR 23 2023
Libyan Official Survives Assassination Attempt in Tripoli
Above: Libya's Minister of State for Cabinet Affairs Adel Juma, US Chargé d'Affairs in Libya Jeremy Berndt and Libyan Prime Minister's Advisor Ibrahim Dabaiba meet in Tripoli on Oct. 9, 2024. Image copyright: US Embassy Libya via X
The Spin
Narrative A
The Tripoli-based Presidential Council won't spare any effort to track down and bring to justice those behind this assassination attempt. This was an attack against Juma as well as an attack against Libya's rule of law, security, and stability.
Narrative B
This is no isolated incident in Libya as the Tripoli-based government has allowed armed groups to operate with impunity and control state institutions as long as Abdul Hamid Dbeibah has remained in office. The security situation in Libya won't be any better until the country stops being a de facto militia state.