Putin Says Need to Use Nuclear Weapons Hasn't Arisen in Ukraine

Putin Says Need to Use Nuclear Weapons Hasn't Arisen in Ukraine
Above: Russian President Vladimir Putin pictured in Moscow, Russia, on April 30, 2025. Image copyright: Alexander Kazakov/Pool/AFP/Contributor via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-Ukraine narrative

Russia's proposal for a three-day ceasefire is not aimed at finding a real peace in the conflict, but so that Putin can hold his military parade. Russia needs to be pressured into adopting a full and unconditional ceasefire for 30 days to start immediately.

Pro-Russia narrative

Russia's suggestion of a three-day truce, like with the earlier ceasefire, is a test for a longer-term agreement. If Ukraine cannot be trusted to maintain a short-term deal, how can Russia be expected to enter into a longer agreement?

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies



Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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