Poll: Quebec Youth Support for Independence Rises to 56%

Poll: Quebec Youth Support for Independence Rises to 56%
Above: Quebecers celebrate Saint-Jean-Baptiste Day in Old Quebec City, Quebec, Canada, on June 23, 2025. Image copyright: Creative Touch Imaging Ltd./NurPhoto/Getty Images

The Spin

Government-critical narrative

Quebec youth are finally waking up to the reality that Ottawa has failed them completely. With housing costs skyrocketing and unemployment hitting young people hardest, it's obvious that federal policies aren't working for Quebec's next generation. Independence offers a real chance to build a country that actually serves Quebec's unique cultural interests instead of being an afterthought in Canadian politics.

Pro-government narrative

These poll numbers don't reflect the economic reality of independence, which would devastate Quebec's economy and isolate the province internationally. Young voters are being swayed by social media campaigns and emotional appeals rather than considering the practical consequences of separation. The 1995 referendum showed how quickly support can evaporate when people face the actual costs of leaving Canada.

Metaculus Prediction


The Controversies




© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.13.0

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.13.0