Report: January 2025 Sets Global Temperature Record

Report: January 2025 Sets Global Temperature Record
Above: Graphic showing surface temperature anomalies recorded in January 2025 compared to the average temperatures from 1991 to 2020, according to Copernicus data. Image copyright: Paz Pizarro and Pauline Paillassa/Contributors/AFP Infographics via Getty Images

The Facts

  • January 2025 set a new global temperature record, measuring 1.75°C above pre-industrial levels and 0.09°C warmer than January 2024, marking the 18th month out of the last 19 where temperatures exceeded the internationally agreed upon +1.5°C threshold.

  • The record warmth occurred despite the presence of La Niña conditions in the Pacific Ocean, which typically have a cooling effect on global temperatures, reportedly puzzling climate scientists who had predicted cooler temperatures for early 2025.

  • Arctic regions experienced particularly extreme conditions, with parts of the Canadian Arctic recording temperatures 30°C above average, leading to unprecedented sea ice melting and tying the record for the lowest January sea ice extent.

The Spin

Narrative A

If it wasn't clear already, global warming is approaching the point of no return, which, if left unchecked, will lead to climate crises the likes of which human civilization hasn't seen before. Unless carbon dioxide levels are brought closer to pre-industrial levels, the world will endure disasters ranging from irreversible arctic ice melt and ocean biodegradation to rainforest droughts.

Narrative B

While the current climate science establishment is glued to their fearmongering theories, they ignore significant evidence of Earth's core heat cycles impacting climate. Rapid ocean warming events and unexpected CO2 increases during industrial shutdowns challenge the human-centric model. This suggests that natural geological dynamics play a crucial role but are excluded from mainstream climate change discussions.

Metaculus Prediction


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