Home
AI
World
Politics
Health
Crime & justice
Science & technology
Social issues
Sports
Money
Entertainment
Environment/energy
Military
Culture
Weather
Media






Home
Bias Split
Public FiguresControversies

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up!
Sign Up Now!

How our sliders workAboutContact UsNewsletter Archive
MediaFAQGlossaryPrivacy Policy
  1. Home

UK: Latest Poll Predicts Reform Largest Party in Hung Parliament

  • #Electoral systems
  • #Governance
  • #Politics
  • #United Kingdom
UK: Latest Poll Predicts Reform Largest Party in Hung Parliament
story
+2
APR 21
Above: Reform UK leader Nigel Farage meets with candidates at Sandy Park stadium, on April 14, 2025 in Exeter, England. Image copyright: Finnbarr Webster/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images
story last updated APR 21

The Spin

Left narrative

Voting Labour has failed to deliver the change needed to fix a broken system. Labour has embraced austerity-lite, punishing the poor while cozying up to corporate interests. Reform thrives on that betrayal, dressing far-right politics in populist gloss. While Labour continues to ignore the elephant in room that is Brexit, the U.K. is left only to rely on independent, leftwing voices to fight for fairness and a future worth believing in.

XNovara Media

Pro-establishment narrative

Early polls make headlines, but they don’t make governments. Starmer may have had a rocky start, but rebuilding after decades of decline was never going to be smooth. The public mood is volatile, and Reform’s surge reflects protest, not policy. The government's playing a long game through steady and pragmatic strategy, hard choices, and long-term repair. The real test will come in years, not months.

State of the NationNew Statesman

Right narrative

Reform UK is tapping into the frustrations of a forgotten majority — those left behind by Labour’s urban elitism and disillusioned with a splintered and underwhelming Conservative Party. With bold campaigning and clear messaging, Reform offers a genuine alternative to the political status quo. Starting with local electioneering next month, voters have a real chance to shake up British politics for the better.

BreitbartExpress.co.uk

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures

Keir Starmer

Nigel Farage

Angela Rayner

Wes Streeting

Yvette Cooper


The Controversies


UNLIKELYLIKELY
Status:Open
Will Any Other Country Follow the UK in Leaving the EU?
Controversy
APR 21APR 21

UNLIKELYLIKELY
Status:Open
Will the UK Join the Pan-Euro-Mediterranean Convention?
Controversy
APR 21APR 21

UNLIKELYLIKELY
Status:Open
Will the UK Join or Create a Youth Mobility Scheme?
Controversy
APR 21APR 21

Political split

LEFT

RIGHT

Mega Poll Shows Farage's Reform Party on Pace to Win Next Election
BreitbartAPR 30
Reform would be biggest party in hung parliament if election held today, new poll says
IndependentAPR 30