Russia Kills 22 Civilians in Ukraine as Trump Shortens Peace Deadline

Russia Kills 22 Civilians in Ukraine as Trump Shortens Peace Deadline
Above: A makeshift memorial for Ukrainian and foreign soldiers at Independence Square in Kyiv, on July 28, 2025, on the eve of the third anniversary of the Olenivka prison attack. Image copyright: Tetiana Dzhafarova/AFP/Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-Ukraine narrative

Moscow must face harsh, painful and effective sanctions for deliberately targeting hospitals, prisons and residential areas. Only under extreme pressure will they stop the killings and pursue peace. Economic consequences through tariffs will force Moscow to choose between continued aggression and diplomatic resolution.

Pro-Russia narrative

Russia remains committed to peace and achieving its military objectives regardless of external ultimatums or threats. The special military operation continues as planned, and foreign powers will not dictate to Moscow about when to negotiate. Each ultimatum only escalates tensions and threatens broader conflict beyond Ukraine's borders.

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies



Go Deeper


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO