Russia's Reported Indonesia Base Request Sparks Australian Concerns

Russia's Reported Indonesia Base Request Sparks Australian Concerns
Above: A Russian Sukhoi Su-57 fifth-generation fighter prepares to take off during Aero India 2025 at Yelahanka Air Force Station in Bengaluru on Feb. 11, 2025. Image credit: Arun Sankar/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Facts

  • Military website Janes reported that Moscow officially requested permission to base Russian Aerospace Forces aircraft at Indonesia's Manuhua Air Force Base in Papua, approximately 1,300 kilometers from Darwin, Australia.
  • The reported request followed a February meeting between Indonesian Defense Minister Sjafrie Sjamsoeddin and Russian Security Council Secretary Sergei Shoigu, though specific aircraft types were not detailed in the request.
  • Indonesia and Russia have strengthened military ties recently, conducting their first bilateral naval exercise in November 2024, following President Prabowo Subianto's election.

Sources Split


The Spin


Narrative A

The potential Russian military presence in Indonesia would pose a dangerous and serious strategic threat to Australia's northern defense perimeter, enabling surveillance of US-Australian military activities and compromising regional security arrangements.

Narrative B

Indonesia maintains its commitment to non-alignment and the constitutional prohibition of foreign military bases while continuing to develop balanced relationships with various international partners through defense cooperation and joint exercises. Australia has no need for concern.


Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies


© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 7.17.1

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 7.17.1