Russia's Reported Indonesia Base Request Sparks Australian Concerns

Russia's Reported Indonesia Base Request Sparks Australian Concerns
Above: A Russian Sukhoi Su-57 fifth-generation fighter prepares to take off during Aero India 2025 at Yelahanka Air Force Station in Bengaluru on Feb. 11, 2025. Image copyright: Arun Sankar/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

The potential Russian military presence in Indonesia would pose a dangerous and serious strategic threat to Australia's northern defense perimeter, enabling surveillance of US-Australian military activities and compromising regional security arrangements.

Narrative B

Indonesia maintains its commitment to non-alignment and the constitutional prohibition of foreign military bases while continuing to develop balanced relationships with various international partners through defense cooperation and joint exercises. Australia has no need for concern.

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies



Articles on this story

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up!
Sign Up Now!