Scientists Create Ammonia from Air Using Artificial Lightning

Scientists Create Ammonia from Air Using Artificial Lightning
Above: The new ammonia import terminal of the Norwegian company Yara International in the port of Ostermoor. Image copyright: Marcus Brandt/picture alliance/Getty Images

The Spin

Techno-optimist narrative

This breakthrough represents a game-changing shift toward sustainable agriculture and clean energy. The plasma-driven method eliminates the massive carbon footprint of traditional ammonia production while enabling farmers to produce fertilizer on-site. This technology democratizes ammonia production, aligning perfectly with global net-zero ambitions.

Techno-skeptic narrative

While promising, this technology faces significant hurdles before commercial viability. The electrolyzer efficiency remains suboptimal compared to established Haber-Bosch processes, and scaling from laboratory prototypes to industrial production presents substantial technical and economic challenges that may limit near-term adoption.

Metaculus Prediction


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