South Korea's Birth Rate Rises First Time in Nine Years

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The Spin

Narrative A

The rebound signals that government policies are beginning to have an effect and increasingly resonate with the South Korean public, as evidenced by more positive views about marriage and childbirth, with 52.5% of residents expressing positive attitudes toward marriage in 2024.

Narrative B

This increase may be temporary and insufficient to address the demographic crisis, as the number of women of childbearing age is projected to decline from 2027 in South Korea, and the effects of recent political crises and economic downturns could negatively impact future birth rates.

Metaculus Prediction


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