Starmer Hits Record Low Approval as Reform Leads Labour

Starmer Hits Record Low Approval as Reform Leads Labour
Above: Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer attends an opening session of the Labour Party conference on Sept. 28, 2025, in Liverpool, England. Image copyright: Dan Kitwood/Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-government narrative

Despite recent polling, the Labour government has plenty of time to turn its situation around. Through hard work and an ambitious housing plan, Starmer can return prosperity to the country and escape the political predictions of the naysayers. Rather than fighting among themselves, therefore, Labour should focus its energy on challenging its main rival: Reform UK.

Reform Party narrative

Starmer and the government’s declining popularity show that the British people desire radical change, and Reform’s rapid rise in the polls makes it clear who they are turning to after years of Tory and Labour failure. Through due diligence and ingenuity, Farage has built a political movement that is here to stay and will rescue the country from its terminal decline.

Progressive narrative

With Reform surging, the prime minister has no one else to blame but himself. Constant U-turns, broken pledges, and open betrayals have damaged Starmer’s public image beyond the point of repair. By breaking the people’s trust, Starmer has not only lost the voters and even his party faithful but has dangerously opened the door to far-right extremism in the form of Reform.

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies



Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

More neutral establishment stance articles



© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.16.0

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.16.0