Uganda Suspends Military Ties with Germany Over Subversion Allegations

Uganda Suspends Military Ties with Germany Over Subversion Allegations
Above: Muhoozi Kainerugaba, Uganda's Chief of Defense Forces, talking to Sam Okiding, Deputy Chief of Defense Forces, at the Chief of Defense Forces Inter Force Drill Competition on May 13, 2025 in Kampala, Uganda. Image copyright: Hajarah Nalwadda/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-Europe narrative

Uganda's claim that Germany’s ambassador backs rebel groups is a desperate, recycled ploy. Coming shortly after EU diplomats raised concerns over Muhoozi’s violent behavior, this is a clear attempt to shift blame and avoid scrutiny. Fabricating threats to justify abductions and repression is an old script. Fear-based propaganda will not stop Germany or Europe from firm but fair diplomacy.

Establishment-critical narrative

The suspension of military cooperation with Germany represents a necessary response to clear evidence of overreach and interference in Uganda's sovereign affairs. Intelligence reports have documented Schauer's involvement with opposition groups and subversive elements seeking to destabilize the country ahead of upcoming elections, undermining relations between the two nations.

Metaculus Prediction


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