UK: Channel Crossings Increase 25% in 2024, Second Highest on Record

UK: Channel Crossings Increase 25% in 2024, Second Highest on Record
Above: A group of people thought to be migrants are brought to Dover, Kent, on board the RNLI Dungeness Lifeboat following a small boat incident in the English Channel on Sept. 3, 2024.  Image copyright: Gareth Fuller/Contributor/PA Images via Getty Images

The Facts

  • Over 36.8K people crossed the English Channel in small boats during 2024, marking a 25% increase from 29.4K in 2023 but remaining below the record of nearly 45.8K crossings in 2022.

  • Between January and the July 4 general election 13.6K people arrived. This was a 19% increase compared to the same period the year prior, while 23.2K crossed between the election and year's end — a 29% increase compared to 2023.

  • The final crossings of 2024 occurred on Dec. 29, when 291 people arrived in six boats. 2024 also saw 77 people reported dead according to official French figures, making it the deadliest year on record following 12 deaths in 2023.

The Spin

Left narrative

Labour's plan to end dangerous small boat crossings is a vital step toward saving lives and securing UK borders. Its commitment to dismantling smuggling networks shows strong leadership, but Labour also recognizes the need for safe, legal routes, such as refugee visas and family reunification, to offer humane alternatives. This balanced approach not only protects vulnerable people but also demonstrates Labour's ability to combine compassion with effective governance.

Right narrative

Labour's approach to small boat crossings falls short, focusing on smugglers while ignoring the root causes driving migrants to risk these journeys. Despite bold promises, illegal arrivals have surged, exposing a failure to deliver results. By rejecting deterrents like the Rwanda plan without alternatives, Labour has created a system that actually encourages more crossings. This strains resources and leaves the problem unresolved.

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures


Articles on this story

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up!
Sign Up Now!