Congo Accuses Rwanda of Killing Over 1,500 in M23 Offensive

Is Rwanda worsening an already dire humanitarian crisis in violation of the U.S.-backed peace accords, or is Kinshasa inciting anti-Tutsi violence?
Congo Accuses Rwanda of Killing Over 1,500 in M23 Offensive
Above: A group of M23 soldiers travel in a truck as M23 rebels retained control of the city on January 31, 2025 in Goma, Democratic Republic of Congo. Image credit: Daniel Buuma/Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

Rwanda's military aggression in eastern Congo has killed over 1,500 civilians since December through coordinated drone strikes and ground operations, directly violating the U.S.-brokered peace agreement signed just days earlier. Kigali deployed thousands of troops and backed M23's seizure of strategic cities, including Uvira, displacing over half a million people and triggering a massive humanitarian catastrophe across the region.

Narrative B

Genocidal rhetoric from Congolese officials targeting Tutsi communities has reached alarming levels, with military spokesmen echoing the same dehumanizing language that preceded the 1994 Rwandan genocide. The Tshisekedi regime openly collaborates with FDLR genocidaires while promoting hate speech that labels Tutsis as "cockroaches" and "viruses," creating imminent danger for Congolese Tutsi populations who face systematic persecution and violence.

Metaculus Prediction


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© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.20.1

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.20.1