Who Will Control the US Senate After the 2024 Elections?

Resolution:

Republicans.

Resolved on Nov 06, 2024

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Claims

Last Updated 11 months ago

The Hill"Our model currently predicts that Republicans have a 78% chance of winning the Senate."

Jennifer RubinRepublicans may end up "blowing yet another chance to take over the Senate" due to poor candidate quality.

Steve CortesRepublicans will "dominate 2024 elections and earn control of the Senate and White House, in addition to expanding GOP margins in the House."

Harry Enten"Republicans may be prone to blowing it when it comes to Senate races. But I’m not even sure the Washington Generals of Senate races can blow this one."

Nate Silver"The 2024 map is... so bad for Democrats that keeping the Senate for years to come will be a fairly tough order."

Kevin McCarthy"If Biden is on the ticket, the Senate will go Republican."

Jay Townshend"Some Democrat Senate incumbents represent hard-to-win states, so it increases the likelihood that Republicans will gain control of the Senate in 2024."

US News"[A] continued Democratic majority [in the Senate] depends on winning two seats that we continue to rate as Toss-ups."

Chuck SchumerDemocrats will "absolutely" retain control of the Senate if we "stick to our North Star, which is, help people with things that they need help with."

Robert Y. ShapiroThe Republicans have a "very good chance" of winning control of the Senate.

Mitch McConnell"We do have the possibility of screwing this up."

The Economist"A Trump victory would probably be accompanied by Republicans gaining control of the Senate and perhaps expanding their majority in the House."