Controversy
Status:Resolved
Who Will Control the US Senate After the 2024 Elections?
Resolution:
Republicans.
Resolved on Nov 06, 2024
DEMOCRATSREPUBLICANS
Claims
The Hill"Our model currently predicts that Republicans have a 78% chance of winning the Senate."Jul 18, 2024
Jennifer RubinRepublicans may end up "blowing yet another chance to take over the Senate" due to poor candidate quality.Mar 26, 2024
Steve CortesRepublicans will "dominate 2024 elections and earn control of the Senate and White House, in addition to expanding GOP margins in the House."May 29, 2023
Harry Enten"Republicans may be prone to blowing it when it comes to Senate races. But I’m not even sure the Washington Generals of Senate races can blow this one."May 18, 2024
Nate Silver"The 2024 map is... so bad for Democrats that keeping the Senate for years to come will be a fairly tough order."Dec 08, 2022
Jay Townshend"Some Democrat Senate incumbents represent hard-to-win states, so it increases the likelihood that Republicans will gain control of the Senate in 2024."Nov 10, 2023
US News"[A] continued Democratic majority [in the Senate] depends on winning two seats that we continue to rate as Toss-ups."Jun 19, 2024
Chuck SchumerDemocrats will "absolutely" retain control of the Senate if we "stick to our North Star, which is, help people with things that they need help with."Dec 15, 2022
Robert Y. ShapiroThe Republicans have a "very good chance" of winning control of the Senate.Dec 29, 2023
The Economist"A Trump victory would probably be accompanied by Republicans gaining control of the Senate and perhaps expanding their majority in the House."Jun 12, 2024
Stuart RothenbergIf the Democrats cannot overcome "substantial Republican advantages... the GOP surely will take back the Senate."Jan 08, 2024
Nathan Gonzales"Republicans have a great opportunity to win control of the Senate... But we’ve seen Republicans throw away opportunities before."Dec 31, 2023