CONTROVERSY
Status:Open
Who Will Control the Gaza Strip After the Israel-Gaza War?
Claims
MetaculusWho will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025?
Khalil Shikaki"Governance is about establishing law and order and enforcing the rules, and the P.A. cannot do that."Nov 24, 2023
Nabil Abu Rudeineh"Gaza will only be part of the independent Palestinian state... Any plans to the contrary are destined to fail."Feb 23, 2024
Naftali Bennett"[W]e're going to want... a buffer zone... And there will be some sort of transitory period after which there'll be a form of self-governance that works for them."Nov 16, 2023
Mark Regev"We have no desire to rule over the people of Gaza. And we have no desire to govern the Gaza Strip."Nov 08, 2023
Benjamin Netanyahu"We don't seek to conquer Gaza. We don't seek to occupy Gaza. And we don't seek to govern Gaza."Nov 10, 2023
Yoav Gallant"Gaza residents are Palestinian, therefore Palestinian bodies will be in charge, with the condition that there will be no hostile actions or threats against the State of Israel."Jan 05, 2024
Ursula von der Leyen"Different ideas are being discussed... including an international peace force under UN mandate."May 09, 2024
Annalena Baerbock"Gaza must not be occupied, but ideally be placed under international protection."Nov 13, 2023
Riyad al-Malki"Us, the Palestinian Authority [will govern Gaza after the war]. That's for sure. No doubt about it."Mar 03, 2024
Benjamin NetanyahuThe enclave will then be run by "local officials" who are not tied to "countries or entities that support terrorism."Feb 23, 2024
Nadav Eyal"Israel doesn't have a comprehensive, coherent vision as to the Gaza Strip after Hamas is eliminated."Nov 16, 2023
David Shimoni"The Palestinian Authority as we know it does not have the power and the influence to enter Gaza."Jan 14, 2024
Benjamin Netanyahu"IDF forces will remain in control of the Strip, we will not give it to international forces."Nov 10, 2023
Antony Blinken"At some point, what would make the most sense would be for an effective and revitalized Palestinian Authority to have governance and ultimately security responsibility for Gaza."Dec 19, 2023