Trump Announces Israel, Hamas Reached First Phase of Gaza Ceasefire Deal

Trump Announces Israel, Hamas Reached First Phase of Gaza Ceasefire Deal
Above: People gather at the Hostage Square in Tel Aviv to celebrate the ceasefire deal on Oct. 9, 2025. Image copyright: Ilia Yefimovich/picture alliance/Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-Israel narrative

This is a diplomatic triumph and a moral victory for Israel. From the outset, it was clear Netanyahu would not relent until all hostages were freed and Israel's objectives met. Through resolute determination, robust military efforts and the invaluable support of President Trump, Israel has achieved this pivotal milestone. Hopefully the deal will lead to an end to the war, but that will depend on how well it is implemented.

Pro-Palestine narrative

Hamas' acceptance exposes Trump's plan as a forced surrender amid Israel's genocidal siege, yielding hostages for illusory aid while dodging true statehood. While Trump's deal ends Gaza's war, the fact remains that sovereignty over the Gaza Strip belongs to the State of Palestine, and only an end to Israel's illegal actions can bring a just, lasting peace with East Jerusalem as Palestine's capital.

Pro-Trump narrative

Trump's masterful diplomacy delivers again: Hamas capitulates to his ultimatum, freeing hostages and paving the way for Gaza's reconstruction under fair oversight. Backed by Arab allies, this averts an endless war, boosts U.S. prestige, and stabilizes the region —proving that American leadership alone can forge peace where others have failed. For Gazans, this brings immense relief. For Israelis, it could mark the end of a two-year ordeal.

Anti-Trump narrative

Trump's deceptive 20-point Gaza plan undermines U.N. efforts for Palestine, perpetuating Israel's occupation by demanding Hamas' disarmament and control by a Trump-Blair-led board. Despite Hamas agreeing to release hostages for a permanent ceasefire, the plan fails to end the genocide. The U.N. must urgently convene an Emergency Special Session to enforce a ceasefire, arms embargo, and Palestinian statehood recognition.

Metaculus Prediction



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© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.16.0

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.16.0