Controversy
Status:Open
Will Any Other Country Follow the UK in Leaving the EU?
UNLIKELYLIKELY
Claims
Andrew GlencrossThere's "no room for complacency over the future prospects of disintegration."Oct 07, 2024
Hans Vollaard"There is no majority in any other member state in government, parliament or public opinion for a full exit from the EU."Mar 23, 2020
Cesáreo Rodríguez-Aguilera de Prat"In the (very) long term we will likely see the EU grow from its current 27 states to as many as 35."Apr 17, 2024
Nigel Farage"The UK is not going to be the last member state to leave the EU and to take back their independence."Jun 29, 2020
Bruno La MaireThe political agendas of the left wing "will guarantee downgrade, mass unemployment and an exit from the European Union."Jun 18, 2024
Markus Gastinger"As long as Germany remains in the EU, it seems unlikely that other member states will see their national interests served by cutting ties to Brussels."Dec 11, 2019
Markus Gastinger"[T]he United Kingdom was an outlier and uniquely positioned to leave the European Union."Oct 07, 2024
Marine Le PenBrexit "will set off the domino effect that will bring down all of Europe."Feb 22, 2017
Donald Trump“I believe others will leave. I do think keeping it together is not gonna be as easy as a lot of people think.”Jan 16, 2017
Paul Taylor"[T]he EU will have more, not fewer, members by the mid-2030s — possibly as many as 36 compared to today's 27."Apr 20, 2023
Alice Weidel"[W]e could have a referendum on 'Dexit' — a German exit from the EU" if a reform of the bloc isn't possible.Oct 07, 2024
Jon Henley"There is little yet to suggest that if referendums were eventually held in some or all of these countries, the question would necessarily be about leaving the union altogether."Jun 12, 2016
Sara B. Hobolt"[T]here is no evidence of a short-term contagion effect with similar membership referendums in other countries."Oct 07, 2024
Markus Gastinger"Still, the EU’s collapse through successive exits is unlikely. Most states seem all but guaranteed to see their national interests better served by keeping the Union."Oct 07, 2024
