Manifold

Manifold

Manifold Markets is a prediction market platform founded in 2021 by Austin Chen and James Grugett that allows users to create and trade on markets about future events using play money. The San Francisco-based company operates as a public benefit corporation, focusing on improving forecasting and decision-making through crowdsourced predictions on topics ranging from politics to technology.

Claims from Manifold

Manifold
Manifold"There is a 52% chance Bitcoin will touch $150,000 in 2026."Nov 03, 2025


© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.18.1

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.1