Controversy
Office for Budget Responsibility
The Guardian
Brian Bell
British Future
Rob Bates
Connor Tomlinson
+1
Status:Open

Will Annual UK Net Migration Fall Below 300,000 In A Year This Parliamentary Term?

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Claims

British Future
British Future"Net migration is certain to be much lower than before and is expected to fall by over 250,000."May 22, 2025
Connor Tomlinson
Connor Tomlinson"Net migration is projected to be minimum 315,000 every year, up from 245,000."Jul 06, 2025
The Guardian
The Guardian"It [a new Home Office assessment] suggests net migration could fall to 300,000 by 2029."May 12, 2025
BBC
BBCEven if Starmer's plan to cut migration works, "net migration will continue to flow at the rate of around 300,000 a year."May 22, 2025
"I think it is possible it will get down to the 200,000 mark."Jun 10, 2025
Rob Bates
Rob Bates"Net migration will stay at 400-500,000 for the foreseeable future."Jul 06, 2025
Office for Budget Responsibility
Office for Budget ResponsibilityWe expect "net migration to average around 350,000 a year over the forecast period."Mar 06, 2024
Brian Bell
Brian Bell"Somewhere just below 300,000 would seem like a plausible medium-term scenario."Jun 11, 2025
The UK Government
The UK Government"Plausible estimates suggest that, without further policy change, long-run net migration may settle in the region of 300,000 per year or more."May 13, 2025
"I think we can get there in the next two to three years probably."Dec 18, 2024

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