Controversy
Centre for Economics and Business Research
Capital Economics
S&P Global
Goldman Sachs
Global Times
George Magnus
Eswar Prasad
Nikkei Asia
Rob Subbaraman
+4
Status:Open

Will China's GDP Overtake the US, And If So When?

NO TIME SOONSOON

Claims

Capital Economics
Capital Economics"China probably won't ever overtake the US economy on a sustained basis."Dec 08, 2024
Rob Subbaraman
Rob Subbaraman"[T]he size of China's economy in USD terms will overtake the US in 2028."Feb 01, 2021
Nikkei Asia
Nikkei Asia"China's nominal gross domestic product is unlikely to surpass that of the U.S. in the next few decades."Dec 14, 2022
George Magnus
George Magnus"This idea of China becoming the world's biggest economy may not happen, actually."Nov 13, 2023
IMF
IMF"China has now overtaken the US to become the world's largest economy."Oct 20, 2020
JCER
JCER"It will be difficult for China to surpass the U.S. even after 2036 due to the decrease in the labor force population."Dec 08, 2024
Desmond Lachman
Desmond Lachman"It is unlikely that the Chinese economy will surpass that of the United States within the next decade or two."Dec 08, 2024
Centre for Economics and Business Research
Centre for Economics and Business Research"China will overtake the United States to become the world's biggest economy in 2028."Sep 10, 2024
S&P Global
S&P Global"If China grows by a more moderate 4% over the long term, its GDP will exceed that of the US eight years later, in 2046."Apr 29, 2024
Goldman Sachs
Goldman Sachs"China is forecast to overtake the U.S. as the world’s largest economy by around 2035."Dec 08, 2022
Global Times
Global Times"China will overtake the US as the world's top economy in about 2035."Mar 15, 2024
Eswar Prasad
Eswar Prasad"The likelihood of the prediction that China's GDP will one day overtake that of the U.S. is declining."Feb 06, 2024
Chris Giles
Chris Giles"China's GDP exceeded that in the US around the time Donald Trump was 'making America great again.'"Dec 06, 2023
Statista
Statista"It is estimated that, by 2030, China will overtake the U.S. as the world's largest economy."Jul 04, 2024
Nathan Sheets
Nathan Sheets"We now believe that Chinese overtaking [US Economy] is 'likely,' but we no longer see it as 'inevitable.'"Jan 31, 2024


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