Controversy
Status:Open

Will There Be a US-China War?

Mark Milley
Mike Minihan
Jacob Thornburg
Scott Ritter
Kevin Rudd
Zhao Tong
Charles C. Krulak
Michael C. Horowitz
Joseph S. Nye
Qin Gang
Frank Kendall III
Thomas L. Friedman
+7
UNLIKELYLIKELY

Claims

Frank Kendall III
Frank Kendall III"China is preparing for a war and specifically for a war with the United States."Oct 02, 2024
Jacob Thornburg
Jacob Thornburg"I argue that war is unlikely to occur due to the deep economic ties underlying the great power politics between the two countries."Jan 27, 2022
Scott Ritter
Scott Ritter"As things currently stand, the US is not prepared to fight and win a war with China over Taiwan."Aug 23, 2022
Mike Minihan
Mike Minihan"My gut tells me we [the US] will fight [with China] in 2025."Jan 31, 2023
Charles C. Krulak
Charles C. Krulak"A war between the US and China today is no more inevitable than was war between the rising US and the declining United Kingdom a century ago."Aug 24, 2021
Qin Gang
Qin GangIf the Taiwanese authorities "keep going down the road for independence, it most likely will involve China and the United States [in a military conflict]."Jan 28, 2022
Marco J. Lyons
Marco J. Lyons"[T]he risk that Beijing will precipitate conflict involving the United States appears to be growing in probability and consequence."Apr 11, 2024
Finian Cunningham
Finian Cunningham"What is inescapably shaping up is a war footing by the United States, Britain and Australia towards China."Nov 12, 2024
Global Times
Global TimesThe US is "creating tension and inciting the risk of war."Oct 15, 2023
Joseph S. Nye
Joseph S. Nye"War is a risk, but it is not inevitable."Oct 03, 2023
Thomas L. Friedman
Thomas L. Friedman"The smallest misstep by either side [Taipei and Beijing] could ignite a U.S.-China war."Apr 14, 2023
Mark Milley
Mark Milley"War with either [Russia or China] is neither inevitable nor imminent."Mar 29, 2023
Kevin Rudd
Kevin Rudd"[T]he tension between the United States and China will grow, and competition will intensify; it is inevitable. War, however, is not."Jun 26, 2023
Zhao Tong
Zhao Tong"The risk of a military conflict is very serious."Nov 17, 2021
Michael C. Horowitz
Michael C. Horowitz"The most proximate potential timeframe for war is in the next two years."Dec 28, 2021
Lloyd Austin
Lloyd Austin"War or a fight with China is neither imminent, in my view, [n]or unavoidable."Jun 01, 2024
Michael Brenner
Michael Brenner"Biden's team is bent on a confrontation with China that runs a heavy risk of war."Sep 24, 2021
Ray Dalio
Ray DalioThe US-China conflict [over Taiwan] "will have a much larger global impact than the Russia-Ukraine war."Aug 08, 2022
Stanislaw Koziej
Stanislaw Koziej"There is a serious risk that one of the parties will become overly ambitious and, either deliberately or because of a political or military miscalculation, turn the situation into a conventional war."May 16, 2022


Sign up to our daily newsletter