Controversy
OECD
World Bank
IMF
Fitch Ratings
Deloitte
JPMorgan
Moody's Analytics
FocusEconomics
Luis Caputo
Modaes
+5
Status:Open

Will Argentina's Economy Grow by at Least 3.5% GDP in 2026?

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Claims

Fitch Ratings
Fitch Ratings"We expect the economy to grow 3.2% in 2026, down from 4.4% in 2025 but marking the first two years of consecutive growth since 2011 (excluding the post-pandemic recovery)."Jun 11, 2026
OECD
OECD"Real GDP is projected to grow by 2.8% in 2026 and 3.5% in 2027, driven mostly by exports from the energy, mining and agricultural sectors."Jun 11, 2026
IMF
IMF"Real GDP is projected to expand by about 3½ percent in 2026, supported by robust private investment and primary exports, as well as a pickup in construction associated with the expected road concessions."Jun 11, 2026
Modaes
Modaes"In the rest of the large Latin American economies, Argentina will record growth of 3.5% in 2026 and 4% in 2027, while Colombia will advance by 2.3% and 2.5%."Jun 11, 2026
World Bank
World Bank"Argentina’s economy grew by 4.4% in 2025, and growth of 3.6% is projected for 2026, driven by macroeconomic stability, investments in the energy sector, and the strong performance of the agribusiness sector."Jun 10, 2026
BBVA Research
BBVA Research"We maintain our GDP growth forecasts of 4.5% for 2025 and 3.0% for 2026, alongside sustained fiscal equilibrium, despite lingering vulnerabilities within the current exchange rate regime."Dec 15, 2025
Allianz Trade
Allianz Trade"Argentina’s economy is forecast to grow by 3.0% in 2026, leading the region but at a slower pace than previously anticipated."Jun 10, 2026
Reuters
Reuters"The median forecast for gross domestic product growth is 3.0% this year [2026] and in 2027 after an expected 4.3% increase in 2025, according to estimates from 25 economists polled in the January 12-16 period."Jun 10, 2026
FocusEconomics
FocusEconomics"We forecast GDP growth of 3.5% in 2026, underpinned by a firmer outlook for investment and private consumption, alongside a favorable statistical carryover."Jun 11, 2026
Luis Caputo
Luis Caputo“It is possible that Argentina will grow by up to 10% in 2026."Nov 12, 2025
JPMorgan
JPMorgan"Argentina, after a strong GDP rebound expected in 2025, is forecasted to decelerate toward 3.1% growth in 2026."Jan 14, 2026
Deloitte
Deloitte"After contractions in 2023 and 2024, GDP growth is expected to rebound by 4% in 2025 and moderate to 3.5% in 2026 as the economy transitions from stabilization to expansion."Jan 16, 2026
Moody's Analytics
Moody's Analytics"We forecast that real GDP will grow 4% in 2025 and slow marginally to 3.5% in 2026."Jun 04, 2026
Goldman Sachs
Goldman Sachs"The region’s top seven economies—Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, Chile, Colombia, Peru, and Ecuador, the LA7—are projected to record GDP growth of 1.9% in 2026, down from an estimated 2.1% the previous year."Feb 05, 2026
Mapfre
Mapfre"GDP is projected to increase by 3.2% in 2026 and 2.9% in 2027."Feb 19, 2026
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© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 7.6.4