Controversy
Status:Open
When will brain–computer interfaces (BCIs) become widely available?
NEVERSOON
Claims
Robert Scoble"New kinds of external brain/computer interfaces are coming for $500 in about in two years."Jan 09, 2026
Clinical Trials Arena"Breakthroughs and clinical trials indicate that BCIs are on the verge of commercialisation, with estimates suggesting a market launch as early as 2030. "Aug 13, 2025
Ray Kurzweil"We are going to expand intelligence a millionfold [with brain-computer interfaces] by 2045."Jun 29, 2024
Elon Musk"Neuralink will start high-volume production of brain-computer interface devices and move to a streamlined, almost entirely automated surgical procedure in 2026."Jan 09, 2026
Elon Musk“Bit rate and patient number will increase hyperexponentially over the next 5+ years. My guess is combined I/O bit rate > 1Mbs and augmented humans >1M by 2030.”
Tara Spires-Jones"[M]ost of these [BCI] interfaces require invasive neurosurgery and are still in experimental stages thus it will likely be many years before they are commonly available."Jan 31, 2024
Peter H. Diamandis"By 2035, the technology is set to achieve low-cost, widespread adoption."Jan 05, 2026
Elon Musk"If all goes well, there will be hundreds of people with Neuralinks within a few years, maybe tens of thousands within 5 years, millions within 10 years."Jan 09, 2026
© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.20.2
© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.
All rights reserved.
Version 6.20.2