Narrative A

Yunus symbolizes hope in a nation yearning for peace and stability. He is committed to reforming Bangladesh's constitution to prevent dictatorship and maintaining an independent judiciary. As it navigates complex international relations, Yunus' administration must foster cooperation with global powers while securing lasting peace.

Narrative B

Though the West describes him as the "banker to the poor," Yunus is, in essence, an enemy of the poor. His silence on human rights abuses under Hasina's regime contrasts with his stance after their ties soured. It remains to be seen if he genuinely cares for his country or is just an opportunist.

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance that at least 1.19B people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in 2032, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Pro-Russia narrative

Ukraine's assault into the Kursk region is a major provocation, but Russian forces repelled the attack and drove the attackers back to the international border. Fighting is ongoing there, but the situation is under control and poses no real threat to Russian territory.

Pro-Ukraine narrative

While Russia's Defense Ministry claims to have repelled this attack, military bloggers from the country conceded that fighting is in fact ongoing inside Russian territory. The situation is not as under control as Russia's Ministry of Defense claims.

Nerd narrative

There's a 32% chance that Russian territory will be reduced by at least 1% before 2040, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Narrative A

The MFP committed treason by campaigning to brainwash Thai youth into scrapping the royal defamation law and weakening the monarchy. While the constitution upholds the right to free speech, criticism in bad faith is a punishable offense. This ruling has dealt a heavy blow to the party's anti-military, anti-business, and anti-democratic agenda and sent a strong message that anyone attempting to create conflict between the monarchy and the people will face repercussions.

Narrative B

This ruling sets a dangerous precedent. Not giving the progressive Move Forward Party an opportunity to defend itself, and punishing the group and its leaders, will cause more than 14M people who voted for them to lose faith in Thailand's political system. While the party reboots under a new name and leadership, the ruling indicates that there's no hope for change. Royalist institutions in Thailand will remain in a permanent state of paranoia.

Narrative C

This is another blow to Thailand's pro-democracy groups. The Constitutional Court just sided with the country's powerful conservative forces to keep their grip on power by making the contentious law and the monarchy sacrosanct. The fact that the court didn't have jurisdiction to rule on the case, yet it dug in its heels against the electorate's will, shows that Thailand is still far from achieving a consensus on appropriate sources of political legitimacy.

Narrative D

The Thai monarchy suffers the most from the lèse-majesté law-related controversies, as these issues constantly drag the unifying national institution into political conflicts that it should transcend. The court's ruling doesn't say the law is unamendable, but rather reinforces the idea that the process must be done in good faith. Parliament, not political parties, must discuss and improve the law to serve the revered monarchy amid changing state dynamics — its inaction will harm the country to the point of no return.

Nerd narrative

There's a 45% chance that Thailand will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Pro-China narrative

These allegations are sour grapes from countries that have been overshadowed by China's record-breaking swimming performance at the Games. WADA has cleared the Chinese athletes and has the final word on these matters. American athletes have also tested positive based on food contamination, with these claims reflecting a xenophobic double standard China is held to.

Anti-China narrative

Not only did WADA uncritically accept an implausible story from the Chinese, but they hid this story from daylight for years. Now exposed, they have resorted to intimidation tactics and claiming victimhood in the face of this gross mishandling. WADA needs a top-to-bottom investigation, as it casts a cloud over the Games this year and the athletes participating.

Nerd narrative

There is an 11% chance that China will lead the medal table at the Paris 2024 Summer Olympics, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Pro-Israel narrative

Hamas is now being run by a butcher who believes that he is engaged in a messianic struggle to bring about judgment day. Though some may claim that Hamas and men like Sinwar have political goals, the reality is they are led by an extremist ideology that seeks the complete destruction of Israel.

Pro-Palestine narrative

Israel's recent spree of assassinations only provides further evidence that it is simply not interested in a cease-fire or ending the war. Sinwar's appointment ultimately changes very little, as the group has proved capable of adapting to challenges and its structure allows for dynamic leadership. Israel has continued to demonstrate that it only seeks to escalate tensions and prevent peace.

Left narrative

Far-right thugs have taken advantage of a tragic killing and used it to fuel race hatred across the country. As the town of Southport mourns the loss of those killed in a knife attack, bigoted agitators have used the tragedy as an excuse to throw the nation into a race war. There is no place for Islamophobia, racism, or violence of any kind in the UK, and the government will protect those being targeted and prosecute those targeting them.

Right narrative

While the government acts like neonazis have just appeared out of nowhere, with no reason or logic behind their actions, it has failed to take any interest in understanding the fundamental cause of resentment across the country. While violent thugs have certainly taken advantage of the situation, there are far more peaceful White Brits who simply wish for their issues with immigration to be acknowledged. This climate of resentment will only continue, so long as the government maintains its public disdain for the White working class.

Narrative A

Boeing's reputation has been shred to tatters, with this hearing exposing the pervasive inattention to safety and quality that has led to numerous accidents. The plethora of evidence suggests that Alaska Air was no one off, and serious course corrections are needed. Boeing cannot be trusted to self-regulate, and greater intervention from regulators is sorely needed.

Narrative B

Boeing's manufacturing practices are absolutely standard for an industry of such complexity, and it is the sprawling decentralization of aviation that has made air travel so safe and affordable. There are criticisms to be made of the company's fast-paced culture, but they harbor no systemic issues, and their maligned manufacturing processes are actually to our benefit.

Anti-Iran narrative

Merchant's foiled assassination plot is straight out of the Iranian playbook. It's evident that his modus operandi is similar to the Iranian government's policy of prosecuting its enemies on foreign soil. His criminal intent and approach are consistent with the actions of those who carry out high-profile assassinations on behalf of an American adversary. The US will outwit all attempts by an authoritarian regime to jeopardize the country's national security.

Pro-Iran narrative

These are baseless, inaccurate, and irresponsible charges. The court filings neither reveal Merchant's specific "targets" nor mention Trump or Iran. Yet, the FBI is quick to attribute the fabricated threats to American public officials to Tehran to evade responsibility for its failure to protect the country's presidential nominee from a would-be assassin's bullet. There's no evidence against Merchant; Iran must counter the US' brazen and unrelenting efforts to berate its people.

Nerd narrative

There's a 2% chance that the US and Iran will be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.