Left narrative

Make no mistake, Bonilla was forced to step down due to politically motivated persecution as the far-right attempts to derail economic reforms and topple the government. Some technocrats in the Ministry of Finance are loyal to Álvaro Uribe and Iván Duque, rather than to the nation, and they have done all they could to tarnish the reputation of Bonilla.

Right narrative

It's not just Bonilla who must resign over corruption allegations, but the entire Petro administration. Ever since the leftist president took office, corruption has become systemic in Colombia. The water tankers scandal is just one to have been reported in the UNGRD, with others including contracts awarded to the ELN guerrillas in exchange for peace talks.

Nerd narrative

There's a 10% chance that Colombia will experience a civil war before 2036, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Narrative A

Australia's Jewish artists, professionals, and businesses are facing an unprecedented surge of antisemitic harassment, threats, and discrimination. The government must adopt the International Holocaust Remembrance Alliance's antisemitism definition, enact robust anti-hate legislation, empower the police to act against racial incitement, and unequivocally protect Jewish citizens from escalating targeted violence.

Narrative B

While Australia confronts rising antisemitism, the government must carefully balance protecting Jewish Australians with preserving free speech. Surveys show overwhelming public support and tolerance for Jews. This suggests that measured and nuanced approaches, which don't conflate legitimate criticism of Israel with antisemitism, are crucial to maintaining Australia's multicultural harmony.

Nerd narrative

There's a 0.1% chance that any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia will curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel's military actions in Gaza, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Republican narrative

The appointment of one of Silicon Valley's most prominent business leaders signals the incoming Trump administration's strategic move toward lighter regulation of emerging technologies, potentially positioning America as a global leader in AI and cryptocurrency development while protecting free speech and reducing government oversight.

Democratic narrative

This appointments reflect troubling pay-to-play politics, as a major campaign donor gains significant policy influence despite previously criticizing Trump over the Jan. 6 Capitol riot. Additionally, concerns are mounting over potential conflicts of interest stemming from Sacks' personal and professional connections in the AI industry.

Nerd narrative

There is an 80% chance that any more of Trump's announced Cabinet picks will drop out before January 1, 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community. 

Left narrative

Barring an unexpected disaster, tax raises were a necessary one-off approach to restoring stability and addressing long-term challenges. Reeves' commitment to fixing the "black hole" in public finances, while sparing working people from further tax burdens, shows decisive leadership. Businesses may face short-term pain, but her emphasis on funding vital public services like the National Health Service and education lays the groundwork for sustainable growth.

Right narrative

Labour's wavering on tax promises underscores a troubling lack of clarity in its fiscal strategy. Despite Rachel Reeves' earlier assurance against further tax hikes, Keir Starmer's refusal to rule them out fuels skepticism about Labour’s economic credibility. This inconsistency risks further eroding public trust and heightening business uncertainty — which is already strained by the recent national insurance hike.

Nerd narrative

There is a 15% chance that the UK Labour Party will have a female leader before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Pro-establishment narrative

It's a shame the Russian ambassador didn't repay the courtesy of listening to the US remarks. Not every claim will be responded to as the Russian colleague is adept at drowning others with a tsunami of misinformation, but he did say something right — the indivisibility of security. However, it cannot be a one-way street for Russia at Ukraine's expense.

Pro-Russia narrative

While Russia still values the OSCE, as it is the remaining pan-European forum on security where Russia can have input, the US under the current administration sought to bury the memory of the Afghan withdrawal by finding a new enemy it can provoke. While Russia still prefers to settle this conflict peacefully, its position has been made clear should the US continue to escalate.

Nerd narrative

There is a 10% chance that there will be a US-Russia war before 2050, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Democratic narrative

This report is the final nail in the coffin of the idea that Trump's economy was better than Biden's. Besides the fact that last month's dreadful report was due to unforeseen hurricanes and labor strikes, several million more jobs have been created under Biden than Trump. As Biden's presidency nears its end, Americans should remember him for this historically positive achievement.

Republican narrative

This report should be celebrated by everyone who's been waiting four long years for good news. However, this success reflects as much on Trump's election victory as on current policies. Renewed confidence among businesses post-election has been key, but cracks persist retail jobs are declining, and the household survey, which is more accurate than the BLS's calculation, paints a grimmer employment picture than the government would like to admit.

Nerd narrative

There is a 50% chance that real GDP growth in the US will be at least 2.04% in 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Narrative A

While inspirational, Wisdom's advanced age may be an anomaly given the species' future. Laysan albatrosses face increasing threats from climate change, sea-level rise, and human disturbance of breeding colonies, with the species currently listed as near threatened on the International Union for Conservation of Nature's Red List.

Narrative B

Wisdom's extraordinary longevity and continued breeding success are actually a beacon of hope for seabird conservation, particularly as she has survived numerous real-world environmental challenges — including widespread plastic pollution that has killed many other albatrosses in the region. The resilience of this amazing seabird speaks volumes.

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance that the first baby of an extinct vertebrate species will be born or hatched naturally by 2046, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Pro-establishment narrative

The court’s decision reflects a commonsense approach to addressing the national security concerns posed by Chinese control over Americans' data. By mandating TikTok's sale to an American company, users can continue enjoying the app without disruption while ensuring their privacy is safeguarded. This approach protects personal data and ensures the app remains available, striking a balance between security and user experience.

Establishment-critical narrative

Federal courts are supposed to uphold the Constitution, not aid in its erosion. This ban disguises a dangerous overreach under the guise of national security, cloaking broad censorship powers in vague terms that invite abuse and the suppression of dissent. Much like post-9/11 expansions, it threatens free speech, allowing any app to be shut down by presidential decree. Data security must not come at the expense of constitutional freedoms.

Nerd narrative

There is a 0.6% chance that TikTok will be banned in the US or sold before Jan. 20, 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Narrative A

Israel should do more to support the rebels in Syria, as they are fighting a common enemy. There are still secular and moderate factions within the opposition, and there will be many voices in a free Syria who will be open to normalizing relations with Israel. Israel should not sit on its hands and wait for events to unfold. Rather, it should actively support the Syrian revolution.

Narrative B

Israel's interest in Syria is to see the Assad regime weakened but not defeated. Now that it is becoming increasingly likely that the Islamist rebels will overthrow the government and take power, Israel must begin to worry. Chaos in the region, especially when it's induced by Islamic radicals, has never been good for Israel, and it must bolster its defenses in the Golan Heights.

Pro-Iran narrative

What is happening in Syria is a Western and Israeli-backed plot to weaken Iran and the axis of resistance. Though the Western media loves to fawn over the "Syrian rebels," in reality, Syria is facing a terrorist onslaught made up of jihadists and foreign fighters from across the world.