27 December 2024

Daily Newsletter

NFL Christmas Day Games on Netflix Break Streaming Records

The Facts

  • Netflix's NFL Christmas doubleheader drew nearly 65M total US viewers, with Ravens-Texans averaging 24.3M and Chiefs-Steelers averaging 24.1M viewers.

  • Viewership peaked at 27M during Beyoncé's halftime performance at the Ravens-Texans game, making these the most-streamed NFL games in US history.

  • The NBA's five-game Christmas slate averaged 5.25M viewers per game on ABC and ESPN, marking an 84% increase from 2023, with Los Angeles Lakers-Golden State Warriors drawing 7.76M viewers as the most-watched NBA regular season game since 2019.


The Spin

Narrative A

Despite the NBA being a reliable Christmas Day fixture in American households, the NFL successfully established Christmas as a new tentpole event alongside Thanksgiving and Kickoff Weekend. The streaming numbers highlight the league's ability to draw massive audiences on any platform.

Narrative B

Basketball remains the traditional Christmas Day sport, with the NBA achieving its best holiday viewership in five years despite direct competition from football and the competing Netflix broadcasts. This proves that there's room for both leagues to thrive.

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance that the revenue of Major League Soccer will be more than 60% of a Big Four US sports league (NFL, MLB, NBA, NHL) by 2031, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

South Korea Impeaches Acting Pres. Han Duck-soo

The Facts

  • South Korea's parliament voted to impeach acting Pres. Han Duck-soo on Friday, with 192 lawmakers supporting the motion in the 300-member assembly.

  • This comes just weeks after Pres. Yoon Suk Yeol was impeached for declaring martial law on Dec. 3.

  • The Constitutional Court must decide within 180 days of the motions whether to uphold the impeachments of both Han and Yoon. Meanwhile, Finance Minister Choi Sang-mok has become the acting president.


The Spin

Narrative A

The impeachment was necessary to root out insurrection forces and protect democracy. Han actively participated in the crisis by refusing to appoint court justices and complete Yoon's impeachment process, revealing his true colors as an obstacle to justice.

Narrative B

The impeachment represents an abuse of power by the opposition-controlled parliament. The process violated constitutional principles, and Han was right to seek bipartisan consensus on court appointments rather than exercising significant presidential powers during an interim period.

Nerd narrative

There's a 2% chance that South Korea will experience a successful coup d'état before 2040, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

India: Former Prime Minister Manmohan Singh Dies at 92

The Facts

  • Former Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, who led India for a decade (2004-14) and liberalized the country's economy during his earlier stint as its finance minister (1991-96), died Thursday in New Delhi at the age of 92.

  • Singh, the first Sikh to become India's prime minister, had been undergoing care for age-related medical conditions. His wife, Gursharan Kaur, and three daughters survive him.

  • Born in Gah village in what later became Pakistan, Singh migrated to India amid large-scale Hindu-Muslim violence following the partition of the subcontinent in 1947. He went on to become a world-renowned economist.


The Spin

Narrative A

Dr. Manmohan Singh transformed a nation through quiet determination and unwavering integrity. As finance minister, he liberated India's economy from bureaucratic shackles, and as prime minister, he lifted 250M out of poverty while deepening democracy through landmark legislation. A man of profound humility who knew poverty first-hand, his soft-spoken demeanor masked a steely resolve that earned him global respect. Barack Obama's words capture his essence "wise, thoughtful, and scrupulously honest."

Narrative B

Singh's decade as prime minister stands as a cautionary tale of brilliance without authority. A fundamentally decent man who never faced personal corruption charges, he presided over an administration plagued by scandals and bureaucratic inertia. His loyalty to his party over the nation and his reluctance to assert leadership turned him into a tragic figure — a placeholder prime minister whose government operated without direction, ultimately paving the way for Narendra Modi's decisive victory.

Nerd narrative

There's a 45% chance that there will be a non-BJP prime minister of India before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

Poll: Post US Election News Fatigue Drives Massive Viewer Exodus

The Facts

  • According to a December AP-NORC poll, about two-thirds of American adults report needing to limit their political media consumption due to mental exhaustion and information overload.

  • MSNBC's prime-time viewership plummeted 54% to 620K viewers after election night, while CNN dropped 45% to 405K viewers.

  • Fox News Channel witnessed a 13% increase in viewership to 2.68M viewers post-election, capturing 72% of cable news viewers compared to 53% before election day.


The Spin

Establishment-critical narrative

The media's obsessive focus on election coverage has backfired, driving viewers away and damaging their ratings. To regain audience trust and engagement, networks must shift toward more substantive issue-based coverage rather than personality-driven political drama.

Pro-establishment narrative

The viewership changes reflect natural post-election patterns and temporary political exhaustion rather than a fundamental problem with news coverage. Historical patterns show audiences typically return when new administrations take office, especially among opposition viewers.

Nerd narrative

There's a 23% chance that Donald Trump will have a positive net favorability rate on Dec. 20, 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

Australia: Victoria Bushfire Destroys Area the Size of Singapore

The Facts

  • Australian firefighters said Friday that a bushfire in Victoria's Grampians National Park has burnt up an area the size of Singapore.

  • With the blaze destroying 74K hectares, Victoria Premier Jacinta Allan has urged residents to follow fire safety rules, especially warning against reckless behavior.

  • Some 6K firefighters have been deployed to tackle the crisis, covering over 360 kilometers (223 miles) in the Grampians, although no casualties have been reported.


The Spin

Narrative A

Australia's apocalyptic bushfires serve as nature's stark warning to humanity. As more than millions of acres are burnt and thousands flee, the infernos revealed our warming planet's grim future. With fire seasons globally lengthening since the late 1970s and temperatures shattering records, Australia's tragedy is a preview of our world's fate unless we act decisively.

Narrative B

Australia is a global leader in bushfire management, blending cutting-edge science with traditional knowledge. Its fire managers orchestrate controlled burns precisely, reducing fuel loads in fire-prone landscapes. Programs like the North Australian Fire Information leverage satellite technology to handle fires effectively. These efforts position it as a beacon of expertise in harmonizing technology, tradition, and environmental stewardship.

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance that wildfires will destroy a total exceeding 10Mha of global tree cover in any year before 2031, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

Israeli Attorney General Orders Probe into Netanyahu's Wife

The Facts

  • Israel's attorney general, Gali Baharav-Miara, on Thursday ordered police to open an investigation into Sara Netanyahu, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's wife, over allegations she harassed political opponents and a witness in the Israeli leader's corruption trial.

  • The probe was ordered following a report by Israel's Channel 12 "Uvda" investigative program that appeared to show WhatsApp messages between her and Hanni Bleiweiss, an aide to the Israeli leader who died of cancer in 2023.

  • The outlet claimed Bleiweiss shared the messages with a reporter before her death after alleging that Sara mistreated her during her illness.


The Spin

Left narrative

Having already been accused of abusive behavior towards staff and using public money to fund her lavish lifestyle, this probe into Sara Netanyahu's actions spells greater trouble for the Netanyahu family. In addition to his charges of bribery, fraud, and breach of trust, Benjamin Netanyahu also has an arrest warrant from the International Criminal Court, which he has to contend with.

Right narrative

While the attorney general ignores criminal wrongdoing by others, he has launched this selective prosecution of the family of ministers for political purposes. His decision to open a criminal investigation based on television gossip makes him unfit for the position, and he ought to be replaced immediately.

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance that Benjamin Netanyahu will cease to be prime minister of Israel by June 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

Trump Team Plans Return of Family Detention for Migrants

The Facts

  • US Pres.-elect Donald Trump's border czar Tom Homan announced plans to construct new family detention facilities to hold migrant families before deportation, marking a shift from the termination of that policy in 2021.

  • The detention facilities will be "soft-sided" tent structures, with the exact number of beds yet to be determined.

  • Homan, a former acting director of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), emphasized that illegal migrants with US-born children will have the choice to be deported together or separated, with parents deciding whether to take their children or leave them with relatives.


The Spin

Republican narrative

The reinstatement of family detention is essential for enforcing immigration laws and addressing the border crisis. Parents who entered illegally made their own choice to put their families in this position, and the new facilities will ensure humane treatment while maintaining order. This is the only way to stem the tide of illegal immigrants taking advantage of the US.

Democratic narrative

The return to family detention represents cruel and unnecessary suffering for vulnerable families and children. The policy disregards human rights, human dignity, and family unity while potentially causing severe psychological harm to detained children. This inhumane policy will do little to deter illegal migration and inflict suffering on children and even American citizens.

Nerd narrative

There is a 50% chance that an average of 432K noncitizens will be removed from the US for fiscal years 2026 through 2028, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

Quantum Teleportation Achieved Over Internet for First Time

Photo: Unsplash

The Facts

  • US researchers have teleported a quantum state of light over 30 km (18 miles) of fiber optic cable, a feat deemed impossible earlier. The breakthrough by Northwestern University engineers isn't designed to teleport people or things.

  • This development could allow quantum and traditional internet networks to coexist, ensuring unprecedented security and speed.

  • Quantum teleportation shifts a particle's quantum state to another located elsewhere.


The Spin

Narrative A

Quantum teleportation marks a revolutionary leap in communication, enabling the instantaneous and secure transfer of information using quantum entanglement. By proving it can work over existing fiber-optic networks, scientists have brought us closer to integrating quantum communication with our current infrastructure, paving the way for ultra-secure networks, transformative quantum computing, and a potential quantum Internet. This milestone overcomes long-standing skepticism and redefines information-sharing possibilities in a digitally interconnected world.

Narrative B

Quantum teleportation warrants cautious skepticism. While researchers have demonstrated its potential, the technology remains constrained by quantum signals' fragility and vulnerability to interference. Practical deployment on a large scale depends on overcoming significant technical and economic barriers, including ensuring reliable coexistence with existing telecommunications. A leap to a fully operational quantum network is far from guaranteed, underscoring the need for continued scrutiny and refinement of these groundbreaking methods.

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance that a physical object will be teleported in the year 2717, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

WHO Chief at Yemen Airport During Israeli Strikes

The Facts

  • Israeli forces conducted airstrikes on multiple targets in Yemen on Thursday, including Sanaa International Airport, where World Health Organization (WHO) Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus and other UN staff were present while preparing to board a flight.

  • The strikes damaged the airport's air traffic control tower, departure lounge, and runway, killing at least six people and injuring 40 others across various locations, according to Houthi media.

  • Israel's military targeted what it described as military infrastructure at Sanaa airport, Hezyaz and Ras Kanatib power stations, and ports in Hodeidah, Salif and Ras Kanatib.


The Spin

Narrative A

The strikes were necessary military actions targeting terrorist infrastructure used for smuggling Iranian weapons and threatening Israeli security. The Houthis have been conducting attacks on Israeli territory and disrupting maritime navigation in the Red Sea, requiring a strong response to protect civilian lives and regional stability.

Narrative B

The Israeli attacks represent an aggressive escalation that targeted civilian infrastructure, endangered UN humanitarian personnel, and resulted in civilian casualties. The strikes threaten humanitarian operations in Yemen and risk further destabilizing an already fragile region.

Nerd narrative

There is a 1% chance that a state-based conflict between Israel and Iran will cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community. 

See sources

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