Pro-establishment narrative

The military strikes were necessary and justified to protect international shipping lanes and American interests, as the Houthis have conducted hundreds of attacks on vessels, causing billions in economic damage and putting innocent lives at risk.

Establishment-critical narrative

The US attack on Yemen is an illegal act of aggression that killed civilians, including women and children, violated Yemen's sovereignty, and failed to address the root cause of the conflict — Israel's blockade of humanitarian aid to Gaza.

Nerd narrative

There's a 6% chance that Israel will establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Republican narrative

Wilmore and Williams' extended stay and unnecessary delays in bringing them back are a failure of leadership. Former Pres. Joe Biden is solely responsible for stalling their rescue by rejecting SpaceX's previous offers to get the duo home.

Democratic narrative

The mission extension was a carefully planned operational decision to maintain proper staffing levels on the ISS and ensure critical research and maintenance could continue. In fact, NASA prioritized crew safety over unnecessary political pressure for an early return.

Nerd narrative

There's a 0.8% chance that SpaceX will land people on Mars before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Left narrative

Instead of unfairly cutting welfare and targeting those battling with their mental health, the government should focus on eliminating corporate tax breaks, closing loopholes that allow profit shifting, and introducing a wealth tax. By ensuring the elite pay their fair share, the government could raise revenue, protect essential public services, and help deal with the ongoing mental health crisis that has plagued the country since the pandemic.

Right narrative

Welfare reform is essential to ensure the system functions as a safety net, not a permanent lifestyle option. With a spiraling benefits bill and rising number of long-term claimants, including many young people citing mental health, it’s time to ask whether some could be encouraged back into work. Reforming welfare isn’t cruel — it promotes self-reliance, dignity, and a stronger society.

Nerd narrative

There's a 66% chance that the UK will have a Labour Prime Minister on Jan. 1, 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Republican narrative

The deportations were a necessary and legal measure to protect American communities from dangerous gang members who were endangering US security. The court order arrived too late, as the planes had already left US territory. Federal judges cannot interfere with the president's constitutional authority over national security and foreign policy matters.

Democratic narrative

The Trump administration intentionally disregarded a federal court order and violated due process by deporting hundreds of individuals without providing evidence of gang affiliation or allowing them the chance to challenge the accusations. This use of wartime powers during peacetime sets a dangerous precedent that could enable mass deportations without legal protections.

Nerd narrative

There is a 50% chance that the average number of noncitizens removed from the United States for fiscal years 2026 through 2028 will be at least 543K, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Pro-establishment narrative

Durov was rightfully detained after Telegram failed to comply with laws on content moderation, thus allowing the platform's users to engage in a range of criminal activity ranging from fraud and drug trafficking to terrorism and distribution of child sexual abuse material.

Establishment-critical narrative

Ironically, Durov faces charges not from Putin’s Russia for his advocacy of free speech, but from France, a Western country, for his platform's lack of moderation and the criminal actions of its users. This response is not only excessive but also deeply unjust. In today's world, standing up for free speech can result in arrest. What is the world coming to?

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance that a currently unknown social media app reach 1B downloads worldwide by August 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Pro-Trump narrative

Talks with Russia and Ukraine are going well and, thanks to Pres. Trump's resolve to bring a swift end to the conflict, we're now the closest we've been to peace in years.

Pro-Russia narrative

Russia favors a cease-fire agreement, but it must be handled in a responsible way. There is still a series of questions that need to be answered before a deal can be agreed upon.

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance there will be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine by Oct. 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Narrative A

This isn't an accident; it's a cold-blooded murder. The nightclub lacked a valid license, fire extinguishers, and emergency exits. It was a squat building with a corrugated iron roof made of flammable materials and non-fire-resistant plasterboard walls. The nightclub's management must face law, justice, and punishment for taking the lives of innocents, and authorities must ensure such a tragedy doesn't happen again.

Narrative B

The nightclub operated in substandard conditions, which directly led to this preventable tragedy. Unsuspecting individuals lost their lives due to a systematic failure of government oversight and endemic corruption where safety regulations were deliberately ignored to issue illegal permits for profit. The government must first determine the criminal liability of its own people for grave offenses against public security.

Nerd narrative

There's an 85% chance that North Macedonia will be part of the European Union in 2050, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Narrative A

The transition presents a historic opportunity to rebuild Syria and establish inclusive governance, with the EU's support through sanctions relief and aid helping to stabilize the country and prevent it from becoming a failed state that could harbor extremists. However, the humanitarian aid gap left by the Trump administration cannot be filled by the EU alone.

Narrative B

The new Islamist leadership under Ahmed al-Sharaa raises serious concerns about minority rights and sectarian violence, as evidenced by recent attacks on Alawite communities, while the group's terrorist designation by the UN complicates international engagement. The EU has a long and problematic road ahead of it in Syria.

Nerd narrative

There's a 5% chance that Syria be partitioned into new, internationally recognized sovereign states before 2040, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Left narrative

Netanyahu's move to oust Bar clearly demonstrates the prime minister's desire to sideline anyone who could oppose him and install loyalists within the government. Indeed, the Shin Bet's recent investigations into Netanyahu's connections with Qatar, which supports Hamas, are likely the main reason he is acting now to push Bar out.

Right narrative

The primary reasons Netanyahu wants to sack Bar are because of his and the rest of the security apparatus's failure to prevent Hamas' Oct. 7 attack and Bar's constant undermining of the prime minister. Netanyahu is well within his right to fire Bar, and the attorney general is playing politics. Indeed, yet again, the left is needlessly dividing Israel during wartime to further its political agenda.

Pro-Palestine narrative

Regardless of the bickering among Israel's political and security elite, Netanyahu's authoritarian intentions are nothing new to Palestinians. Palestinians have lived under brutal occupation for decades, and, now, the circle of this repression is expanding into Israeli society itself.

Nerd narrative

There's an 80% chance that Benjamin Netanyahu will remain the Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.