North Macedonia Fire: Death Toll Rises to 59, 20 Detained

North Macedonia Fire: Death Toll Rises to 59, 20 Detained
Above: Students lay flowers at the University of Skopje during a memorial ceremony a day after the nightclub fire in North Macedonia killed 59 people on March 16, 2025. Image copyright: Armend Nimani/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

This isn't an accident; it's a cold-blooded murder. The nightclub lacked a valid license, fire extinguishers, and emergency exits. It was a squat building with a corrugated iron roof made of flammable materials and non-fire-resistant plasterboard walls. The nightclub's management must face law, justice, and punishment for taking the lives of innocents, and authorities must ensure such a tragedy doesn't happen again.

Narrative B

The nightclub operated in substandard conditions, which directly led to this preventable tragedy. Unsuspecting individuals lost their lives due to a systematic failure of government oversight and endemic corruption where safety regulations were deliberately ignored to issue illegal permits for profit. The government must first determine the criminal liability of its own people for grave offenses against public security.

Metaculus Prediction


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