NASA Launches Study of UAPs

    Image copyright: AP [via Al Jazeera]

    The Facts

    • On Thurs., NASA announced the establishment of an independent team to study available public information on UFOs and gaps in knowledge about the phenomena.

    • The agency's science mission chief stated "We are not shying away from reputational risk" to improve data to better understand the so-called Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (UAP).


    The Spin

    Narrative A

    This is a cosmic wild goose chase at the taxpayers' expense. Government agencies are clamoring for sensors, databases, and personnel when explanations as mundane as planets and stars can explain "UAPs." No matter how uneventful the true causes probably are, there will be a clamoring for a gravy train of public money on this questionable endeavor.

    Narrative B

    Statistically, it's much more likely that UAPs are a national security threat emanating from advanced technologies deployed by US adversaries. Our early combing of the galaxy has turned up no aliens so far. While we keep searching the Cosmos for signs of life, odds suggest these are human technologies snooping in our airspace.


    Metaculus Prediction


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