One Third of the Amazon Has Been Degraded by Human Activities
Scientific AmericanJUL 2023
The Spin
Narrative A
Human activities and climate change have intensified Amazon's dry season, which has been observed to be around one month longer than in previous decades. The ecological jewel that mixes several ecosystems and accounts for more than half of tropical forests in the world is in big trouble. Time is running out to save the Amazon from turning into a savanna.
Narrative B
It's easy to dismiss any extreme weather event as a consequence of climate change, but in reality, they're usually influenced by a myriad of factors that have nothing to do with global warming. More research is needed before establishing any direct causal link between the two.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 26% chance that Brazil will reach net zero deforestation before 2031, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
