Blinken Says Agreement on Iran Nuclear Deal ‘Unlikely’
AntiWarJUL 2022
The Spin
Anti-Iran narrative
The US welcomes any steps Iran might take to de-escalate the growing nuclear threat from Tehran. The US is using its entire toolbox of deterrence, pressure, and diplomacy to get Iran to be a responsible world actor. Iran must end its accumulation of near-weapons-grade enriched uranium.
Pro-Iran narrative
Iran had agreed to maintain a nuclear program only for civilian uses, but the US and Israel — both of which possess nuclear weapons — sought to inflame tensions. Iran wants peace and ultimately has no interest in arming itself with nuclear weapons, but Washington is forcing its hand.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 49% chance that Iran will possess a nuclear weapon before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
