Fire at Crimean Fuel Tanker After Alleged Drone Attack

Image copyright: Telegram/AP [via SCMP]

The Facts

  • A blaze engulfed a Crimean fuel storage site in the port city of Sevastopol after it was allegedly targeted by a Ukrainian drone attack on Saturday.

  • Mikhail Razvozhayev, the Russian-installed governor of the city, said the fire grew to 1K square meters (11K square feet), damaging four fuel tanks.


The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

After Russia illegally annexed Crimea in 2014, the move was rightly not recognized by the international community. Crimea remains a part of Ukraine, and the country should be given the weapons it needs, such as long-range precision missiles, in order to achieve its objective of reclaiming its territory.

Establishment-critical narrative

After nearly a decade in Russian hands, Crimea is heavily fortified and any campaign to retake the territory would be fraught with difficulty. The only options are an amphibious assault — that requires air and naval superiority, which Ukraine doesn't have — or via a thin strip of land that's easy to defend. Ukraine should give up on such unrealistic ambitions.


Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

More neutral establishment stance articles