N. Korea Warns Against US-S. Korea Drills

Image copyright: Reuters [via Daily Mail]

The Spin

Establishment-critical narrative

Although the joint military drills are being portrayed as a defensive response to alleged North Korean military threats, they need to be called out for what they really are – large-scale provocations. Rather than trying to de-escalate the situation with North Korea, the US has once again deliberately inflamed tensions in the region.

Pro-establishment narrative

Joint drills between the US and South Korea won't be stopped just because North Korea throws a fit. The US is steadfast in its commitment to defending South Korea, and Kim's threats of military action — and increasingly worrisome nuclear tests — are unacceptable. The US and South Korea are rightly committed to the complete denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 95% chance Kim Jong-un will remain the de facto leader of North Korea until at least January 1, 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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