Report: US Likely to Supply Ukraine With Long-Range ATACMS Missiles

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The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

The US' reluctance to provide ATACMS has come out of a mistaken fear that it would lead to an escalation of the conflict — France and Britain provided similar weapons without a major Russian reaction. Fortunately, Biden seems to be noticing that and will soon reverse course.

Pro-Russia narrative

Despite Russia's warnings, the US keeps on provoking by sending more and more advanced weaponry with expanded capabilities. Talk of sending ATACMS weapons is deeply disturbing and could lead to disastrous and unpredictable consequences.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 4% chance that there will be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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