Second Batch of Leaked US Documents Surface Online

Image credit: Getty Images [via Time]

The Facts

  • A day after leaked military documents revealing US and NATO war planning in Ukraine surfaced online, a second batch was circulated on Friday — this time said to contain more than 100 documents revealing military secrets on Ukraine and additional areas of US interest, including China and the Middle East.
  • One senior US intelligence official, speaking to the New York Times, described the leaks as "a nightmare for the Five Eyes" — in reference to the intelligence sharing alliance between the US, UK, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand.
  • Late on Friday, Sabrina Singh, the Pentagon's deputy press secretary, said: "The Department of Defense is actively reviewing the matter, and has made a formal referral to the Department of Justice for investigation." Meanwhile, three US officials told Reuters they suspect Russia was behind the leak.

Sources Split


The Spin


Pro-establishment narrative

Russia is likely behind this leak of documents. They revealed Ukrainian fighting positions in areas of the country, as well as a range of damaging information on US operations across the globe. It's they who benefit most from the leaks.

Establishment-critical narrative

This leak, which the US Dept. of Defense acknowledged as authentic, now complicates the US-supported Ukrainian counteroffensive planned for this spring. Military planners will now need to reassess before launching the salvo.


Metaculus Prediction

There's a 1% chance that Ukraine will join NATO before 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.