South Korea fires warning shots after North’s boat crosses sea border
NBCJUL 2023
The Spin
Anti-China narrative
The signing of the trade agreement between the US and Taiwan signals Washington's strong support for the island's democracy, which is an important and strategic trading partner with the US. Beijing will surely complain about this announcement, but its words will fall on deaf ears in Washington as negotiations continue with Taiwan.
Pro-China narrative
Under the pretext of trade collaboration, Taiwan is colluding with foreign adversaries, with Washington's deepening ties with Taipei jeopardizing peace and stability in the region. The Chinese government has numerous times warned the US not to encourage the island to try to make its de facto independence permanent, a step that would lead to war. It's time that the US fully respects China's core interests.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 6% chance that there will be an armed conflict between Taiwan and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
