Court Hears Challenge to US TikTok Law

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The Spin

Establishment-critical narrative

This is a bad law in search of a problem to regulate. TikTok doesn't coordinate anything with the Chinese government. If the courts don't stop this law, the US government will be disrupting an uncountable number of marketing and retail businesses — in addition to violating millions of citizens' rights to free speech — just to look tough on China, which is doing nothing wrong.

Pro-establishment narrative

This law must stand. Even if the Chinese government hasn't exerted control over ByteDance or TikTok, the fact is these companies aren't beholden to any shareholders but are to the Communist Party of China — and that's why there's risk to American users. Two recent studies show how the app is biased toward China's point of view and is integrated in China's propaganda apparatus.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 62% chance that TikTok will still be available and owned by a foreign adversary on Dec. 31, 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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