Prosecutor Probing Ecuador TV Studio Ambush Shot Dead
TimeJAN 2024
Ecuador: Police Arrest Dozens who Stormed Hospital
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The Spin
Pro-establishment narrative
Though past efforts to improve things in Latin America have failed, this latest crackdown on criminal gangs may be more successful as, this time, there's broad public support for state actions and neighboring countries. In this context, cooperation with the US to gather information may prove crucial for this push to be successful, as financial activities that fund organized crime must be tackled.
Establishment-critical narrative
Under the pretext of combating international drug trafficking, Noboa is dangerously treading the same failed path that Colombia did with the US-backed Plan Colombia in 1999. Instead of ceding its own sovereignty to Washington — whose sole interest in South America is to expand its own influence — Ecuador needs to establish truth and justice.
Metaculus Prediction
There is a 20% chance that there will be a successful coup d'etat in Ecuador before 2040, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
