Trump and Harris campaigns agree to rules for ABC debate
NBCSEP 2024
Election Model: Harris, Trump in 'Dead Heat' Ahead of Debate
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Above: The National Constitution Center, Philadelphia. Image copyright: Gilbert Carrasquillo/Contributor/Getty Images Entertainment via Getty Images
The Spin
Democratic narrative
Kamala Harris has a golden chance to crush Trump at their upcoming face-off and keep her momentum, as long as she avoids falling for his bait and stays focused on her middle-class agenda. There's no doubt that the ABC debate will be key to the presidential race — and Harris holds the best cards.
Republican narrative
Since Donald Trump is famous for his debate skills and people have long decided about him, the pressure will be on Harris on Tuesday. After all, debating a former president may be too challenging for the Democratic candidate, especially as she also has the Biden administration's poor record against her.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 50% chance that four days after the first Donald Trump-Kamala Harris debate, Harris' probability of winning will change by at least 0.195%, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
