In thrall to Viktor Orbán and the hard right, Europe is facing its moment of truth
GuardianJUN 2024
The Spin
Left narrative
It's concerning that far-right Eurosceptic parties have polled well in the EU elections because now — and for the next five years — they are likely to pressure centrist parties on key issues such as immigration, climate change, and defense. Hopefully, internal disputes between them will prevail and prevent a bigger impact on these policies.
Right narrative
The right has grown popular in these EU elections precisely because Europeans are tired of mass immigration and a failed globalist agenda — including green ideology. It's no coincidence that Macron was humiliated in France while Germany's center-right Christian Democrats came top after toughening the line on immigration — with the AfD second.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 72% chance that an alliance of EPP, S&D, and RE will form the 2024 EU Commission, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
