Macron: Recognizing Palestine State 'Not A Taboo' For France

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The Spin

Narrative A

How many thousands more must die before everyone agrees that a two-state solution is the only way ahead in the Israel-Palestine conflict? The only war the region can now afford is one against depravity and sub-human living conditions. It's now up to Israel to set a vision for the region and grant Palestine statehood.

Narrative B

Recognizing a Palestinian state before there's anything even remotely resembling a state apparatus is unlikely to solve the crisis, and would only brush the real reasons for the conflict under the carpet. Furthermore, such a plan would be a non-starter without a fair idea of the state's official borders. Without such basics being thought through, calling for a "state" is, at best, virtue signaling.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 33% chance that Israel will recognize Palestine by 2070, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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