‘Goodest Job’ or ‘Good as Job’? The White House Wants a Word.
New York TimesJUN 2024
Polls Show Trump Leads Biden, Faces Mixed Results Against Others
story
Above: Former Pres. Donald Trump and Pres. Joe Biden at the first presidential debate in June 2024. Image copyright: Justin Sullivan/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images
The Spin
Narrative A
Enough with the insurgency, Biden is the Democratic nominee and isn't going anywhere. Now that it's clear that the party elites, pundits, and donors want him out of the race, Biden must go directly to the American people and defeat Trump for the good of the country.
Narrative B
It's clear that Biden is no longer fit to run for office and Trump will easily defeat him to regain the White House. There's no alternative to protect democratic institutions from a MAGA-led administration other than convincing Biden to step aside — and choosing any of the qualified potential replacements through an open process.
Republican narrative
Trump has a clear path to return to the White House, especially if Biden stays in the race and the Democratic infighting intensifies. While the Democrats are destroying themselves, Trump's leadership in polls gets wider.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 66% chance that Biden will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US presidential election, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
