The United States is expected to announce a new $400 million package of weapons for Ukraine
apAPR 2024
Report: Four Ukrainian Villages Captured in Fresh Russian Offensive
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The Spin
Pro-establishment narrative
While Russia may make more advances, the delivery of US weapons will quickly enable Ukraine to push back against these attacks and stymie this offensive. Russia will not achieve any major breakthroughs with this effort.
Pro-Russia narrative
With Ukraine's Western partners providing it with long-range weapons that have an increased range, it was necessary for Russia to launch this offenisve in order to create a buffer zone so that it can keep Russian citizens safe.
Metaculus Prediction
There is a 30% chance that Russia will have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine by January 1, 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
