The D Brief: Strikes inside Russia; Big ammo orders; Nakasone on ‘cyber force’; DOD skips primes for new drone; And a bit more.
Defense OneMAY 2024
Russia Warns US of 'Fatal' Miscalculation as Ukraine Strikes Russia With HIMARS
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Above: Russian Deputy Foreign Affairs Minister Sergei Ryabkov speaks during the annual meeting of the Russian Academy of Science (RAS) on April 20, 2021 in Moscow, Russia. Image copyright: Mikhail Svetlov/Contributor/Getty Images News via Getty Images
The Spin
Pro-establishment narrative
Within hours of Western partners lifting restrictions, Ukraine used these weapons to great effect, striking Russian troop concentrations and military sites and destroying key Russian offensive weapons such as its Iskander-2 missile launcher, used to wage destruction on Ukrainian cities. These military changes of loosening the restrictions could help Ukraine win.
Pro-Russia narrative
World leaders — particularly those in America — continue to cross red lines, thinking Russia will not respond. This is a foolish strategy as one miscalculation could lead to a global conflict with fatal consequences for all. This was even stressed in the simplest terms by Pres. Putin recently, but these comments were still ignored.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 20% chance that a nuclear weapon will be detonated as an act of war by 2050, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
