Steve Bannon Loses Appeal on Contempt of Congress Conviction

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The Spin

Anti-Trump narrative

The justice system often fails to hold rich, politically connected defendants accountable, so the fact that Bannon remains free isn't surprising. However, he is now a step closer to prison, as the appeals court has upheld his conviction. His last hope may be to postpone his arrest so that Trump can pardon him again in the event of a re-election.

Pro-Trump narrative

It's disturbing that a federal three-judge panel has found that a private citizen can be criminally liable for following legal advice to respond to a subpoena, particularly because the concept of "willfully" in the criminal law context requires the defendant to believe his actions were wrong. This development can only pave the way for political abuses of congressional hearings.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 25% chance that Donald Trump will be jailed or incarcerated before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


Public Figures


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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